In the fourth quarter, positive changes have
taken place in the local industrial economy. The reporter of Shanghai Securities
News found that in October, the year-on-year growth rate of industrial added
value in more than half of China's provinces rebounded from the previous month,
and the growth rate of industrial production in Guangdong, Shaanxi, Hubei,
Tianjin and other places changed from negative to positive. The production of
high-tech manufacturing industry has accelerated significantly, and its
supporting role has continued to strengthen. It has become the main engine
driving industrial economic growth.
The growth rate of industrial production
in 16 provinces rebounded
At present, the overall operation of local
industrial economy is stable. According to the latest data of the National
Bureau of statistics, in the first 10 months of this year, the industrial added
value of 31 provinces above Designated Size all increased, of which 17
provinces' industrial added value increased by more than 10%
year-on-year.
From the data of a single month, the year-on-year growth rate
of industrial added value in more than half of the provinces in October
outperformed the national level of 3.5%, and the industrial added value in
Beijing, Tibet, Hainan and Qinghai all achieved double-digit growth
year-on-year.
Since the second half of the year, affected by the epidemic,
flood conditions, tight supply of some energy and raw materials and other
factors, local industrial production has slowed down. With the policy of
ensuring energy supply and stabilizing prices taking effect, industrial
production in many places resumed rapidly in October.
According to the data
of the Bureau of statistics, the growth rate of industrial production in 16
provinces in October rebounded from the previous month, and the growth rate of
industrial production in Guangdong, Shaanxi, Hubei and Tianjin changed from
negative to positive.
Shaanxi, a major energy province, performed
prominently. In October, the added value of industries above Designated Size in
Shaanxi increased by 5.8% year-on-year, 15.1 percentage points faster than that
in September. Among them, the energy industry rebounded rapidly, and the added
value of energy industry above Designated Size in Shaanxi increased by 4.6%
year-on-year in the same month, 20.6 percentage points faster than that in
September.
Luo Huanjie, a senior researcher at Zhixin Investment Research
Institute, said in an interview with Shanghai Securities News: "with the recent
policy support, the upstream coal supply has eased compared with the previous
period, and the North has successively entered the heating season, which has
accelerated the production of power and heat supply, and the industrial
production in many places has warmed up."
Among the 31 provinces in China,
Beijing ranks first in the growth rate of industrial added value. According to
the data, from January to October, the added value of industries above
Designated Size in Beijing increased by 36.7% year-on-year, including 18.3%
year-on-year growth in October. The cumulative year-on-year growth rate and
single month growth rate ranked first in the country.
Beijing's industrial
production is growing well, and high-end industries have played a leading role.
According to the data disclosed by the Beijing Municipal Bureau of statistics,
driven by key industries such as medicine and electronics, the added value of
high-tech manufacturing and strategic emerging industries above Designated Size
in Beijing increased by 1.4 times and 1.1 times year-on-year respectively from
January to October.
High tech manufacturing has become the main engine of
local industrial growth
According to local data, the high-tech manufacturing
industry in October surged, with a growth rate far exceeding the overall level
of industry, and became the main driving force driving the growth of local
industrial production.
For example, the added value of industries above scale
in Fujian's high-tech manufacturing industry increased by 20.1% year-on-year,
driving the added value of large-scale industries in the province to increase by
12.9 percentage points, with a growth contribution rate of 64.2%; The added
value of Anhui's high-tech manufacturing industry increased by 11.3%
year-on-year, 8.3 percentage points higher than that of all industries, and
contributed 48.1% to the growth of all industries.
In October, new industrial
products in many places doubled. For example, the output of new generation
information technology products such as 3D printing equipment and servers in Jiangsu increased by 1.2
times and 1.7 times respectively, the output of new energy vehicles in Anhui
increased by 1.6 times, the output of mobile communication base station
equipment in Fujian increased by 1.4 times, and the overall output of electronic
computers in Henan increased by 36.3 times.
The relevant person in charge of
Anhui Bureau of statistics pointed out that the industrial production of the
whole province continued to recover in October, especially the equipment
manufacturing industry and emerging industries maintained a good development
momentum, and the new momentum continued to increase, which was conducive to
supporting the high-quality development of industry.
Luo Huanjie analyzed and
said that during the "14th five year plan" period, all regions accelerated the
transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry, and provided relatively
large support for production and investment in high-tech manufacturing industry,
and the relevant financing and financial support continued to maintain a high
level. Therefore, the development of high-tech manufacturing industry in various
regions continues to improve. With the deepening of the transformation and
development of China's economy to high quality, the production and investment of
high-tech manufacturing industry will still maintain a rapid growth
trend.
Can the recovery trend of industrial production continue in the
future? In Luo Huanjie's view, the current tight energy supply has eased, and
the traditional peak consumption season and the protection of overseas supply
also have a certain support for industrial production, but the downward drag on
real estate investment is still emerging, and it remains to be seen whether
industrial production can continue to maintain a warming trend. Judging from the
high-frequency data in November, it is expected to end the obvious decline in
most of the data in the previous two months.
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