The
UK printing and packaging
industry continued to rebound. Despite the significant impact of supply chain
challenges and increased costs, most companies' performance improved in the
third quarter, and many companies expect further improvement in the fourth
quarter.
The latest printing outlook published by BPIF is a quarterly industry
health research report. The report found that after the outbreak of the COVID-19
in the first quarter of 2020, with the lifting of the blockade and the further
opening of the economy, the workload was not significantly improved until the
second quarter of this year.
As expected, the third quarter experienced
sustained growth and improved activity levels. Although the supply chain faced
challenges and input prices rose sharply, this trend is expected to continue in
the fourth quarter.
The survey found that 59% of printers managed to increase
production in the third quarter of 2021. Another 33% of printers were able to
maintain a stable output, while the output of the remaining 8% of printers
decreased.
Kyle Jardine, an economist at BPIF, said, "home ownership has
ended, employees in printing companies have also come to work, the economy has begun to recover, and more
jobs are being produced and approved."
Many printers are positive about the
output growth at the end of the year, especially with the help of marketing
activities around Halloween and Christmas, and the strong activity level is
expected to continue into the fourth quarter.
It is expected that 48% of the
companies' output growth will increase, 42% of the companies predict that they
will be able to maintain a stable output level in the fourth quarter, and only
10% of the people say they expect their output level to decline.
85% of the
respondents believed that the cost of printing materials was the business issue that printing companies were most
concerned about for the second consecutive quarter, 61% of the companies listed
access to skilled labor as the second major concern, and 55% of the companies
listed energy costs as the third major concern. In dealing with the economic
impact of covid-19, the ranking fell a lot, and only 14% of companies chose
it.
The shortage of raw material supply is now the most challenging problem
affecting the company's ability to recover from the covid-19 impact.
"Insufficient demand" was previously the highest operational challenge selected
in the first quarter, when 60% of respondents chose this. However, this figure
fell to 44% in the second quarter and 23% in the third quarter. Now it is only
the fifth challenge.
68% of the respondents believed that concerns about the
shortage of imported inputs and raw material supply had increased, becoming the
most selective challenge, slightly higher than the supply of domestic inputs.
41% of the respondents believed that "other cost pressures" ranked
third.
Enterprises in the whole industry have experienced unprecedented
significant cost growth in all major cost areas of their business, and the
upward pressure is expected to increase in the fourth quarter.
BPIF said that
in the third quarter, the increase in the cost of paper and paperboard continued
to bring the greatest inflationary pressure, but at present, cost inflation in
various fields is still exceptionally strong.
Jardine said: "The industry has
never been very good at transferring cost increases, but in the current
environment, we found that customers are aware of the reasons for cost
increases. That is why this time, companies seem to be able to transfer more
costs than before. But there is only so much you can do. If costs continue to
rise, it will become more difficult to return to customers to continue to
increase costs. Obviously, at some time, people are worried that the level of
work will improve Therefore, it is hindered. "
The survey also found that
after the end of the home leave plan, the vast majority (91%) of companies are
not expected to lay off staff before the end of December.
100% of enterprises
said that they expected at least 50% of employees currently working from home to
return to the office by the end of December, at least to a certain extent.
Moreover, the industrial capacity utilization rate continued to improve
strongly, and the capacity utilization rate in October was higher than that in
July.
Finally, the number of printing and packaging companies experiencing "serious"
financial difficulties declined in the third quarter. Those enterprises that
have experienced "major" financial difficulties will also fall back to a more
"normal" level in the third quarter.
The third quarter printing Outlook Survey was
conducted from October 1 to 18, 2021, and received responses from 114
companies.
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